Jobs / Fed path week — reaction > prediction
Do not average into a thesis during the data release. Let the first impulse settle, then swing the structure.
Oil Prices Drop as Markets Assess Federal Reserve’s Inflation Stance - Business Post Nigeria
Payrolls → rate path → real yields → growth multiples.
Follow-through in yields defines whether the swing sticks.
Yields ease, tech/growth lead, high-beta reclaims SMAs.
Yields up, multiple compression, quality defensive bid.
Risk-off then rate-cut bid — trade only liquid names.
Dovish data reaction: buy dips in memory/AI leaders with tight invalidation under VWAP.
Hawkish reaction: fade rips into declining 50-SMA; prefer cash over forced shorts.
Index options through the print; avoid overnight micro-cap risk.